Monagas vs Carabobo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monagas v Carabobo — Team-Based Signals
Monagas vs Carabobo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Carabobo
VEN
3-0
HT 2-0
Monagas
VEN
2-1
HT 1-0
Carabobo
VEN
3-2
HT 2-0
Monagas
VEN
Monagas 1-1 Carabobo — Actual Match Statistics
Monagas and Carabobo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Monagas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Monagas had 61% of the ball to Carabobo's 39%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 0.57 to 0.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Monagas and 1.33 for Carabobo.
What was the final score of Monagas vs Carabobo?
Monagas 1-1 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monagas vs Carabobo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monagas 42%, draw 27%, Carabobo 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monagas), BTTS No went the other way.