Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 31 Oct 2024

Estudiantes De Merida
0-1 HT 0-0
Deportivo La Guaira
📅31/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes De Merida v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.60/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.33
+31% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
20.1 Crosses 17.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
235 Passes 325
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
31.03.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
02.09.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
04.03.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-3 HT 1-2 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.10.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
22.08.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN

Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.62 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
304 Passes 239
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira squeezed past Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes De Merida at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 56% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 44%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.62 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes De Merida had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.17 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 46%, draw 26%, Deportivo La Guaira 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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