Bastia 1-0 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.77
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.43
X/2
13%
7.62
X/X
9%
4.04
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
9%
6.34
2/X
10%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bastia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.46/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.43
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.1 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Clermont
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.01 xG 0.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
216 Passes 436
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.02.2025 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
18.10.2024 Bastia Bastia 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
02.01.2022 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FRK
28.01.2012 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
26.08.2011 Bastia Bastia 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
30.04.2010 Clermont Clermont 0-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bastia
1-0
AWAY Clermont
0.94 xG 0.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
327 Passes 257
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bastia vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bastia edged past Clermont 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bastia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Bastia had 54% of the ball to Clermont's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.94 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bastia and 0.67 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Bastia vs Clermont?

Bastia 1-0 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bastia vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bastia 47%, draw 25%, Clermont 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bastia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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