Clermont 1-1 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 14 Feb 2025

Clermont
1-1 HT 0-1
Bastia
📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Clermont vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.98
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 39% vs market 36.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.81
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
16%
6.15
X/2
15%
5.06
X/X
14%
3.62
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.57
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.4pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Clermont v Bastia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.39/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.20
+34% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.4 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Clermont vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bastia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.18 xG 2.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
475 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
7 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.10.2024 Bastia Bastia 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
02.01.2022 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FRK
28.01.2012 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
26.08.2011 Bastia Bastia 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
30.04.2010 Clermont Clermont 0-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
04.12.2009 Bastia Bastia 1-3 HT 0-3 Clermont Clermont FR2

Clermont 1-1 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-1
AWAY Bastia
1.28 xG 1.34
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
396 Passes 189
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 18
40 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Bastia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont and Bastia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Clermont had 65% of the ball to Bastia's 35%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.28 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Clermont and 0.83 for Bastia.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Bastia?

Clermont 1-1 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Bastia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Clermont 36%, draw 27%, Bastia 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bastia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
14 Feb 2025
22:00 Ajaccio vs Stade Lavallois Analysis →
22:00 Amiens SC vs Grenoble Analysis →
22:00 Red Star FC 93 vs Martigues Analysis →
22:00 Troyes vs Lorient Analysis →
22:00 Pau vs Rodez Analysis →