Red Star FC 93 1-0 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.11
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
16%
4.16
X/2
9%
9.89
X/X
15%
5.34
2/1
9%
22.55
2/2
12%
7.91
2/X
8%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-13.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +26%
0.42/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.38
-33% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
367 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
13.1 Crosses 11.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Martigues
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.98 xG 0.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
474 Passes 193
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Martigues Martigues 0-1 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
09.02.2024 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-0 HT 1-0 Martigues Martigues FR3
04.09.2023 Martigues Martigues 0-1 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
06.03.2023 Martigues Martigues 0-2 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
23.09.2022 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-2 HT 1-1 Martigues Martigues FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
1-0
AWAY Martigues
2.36 xG 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
377 Passes 259
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 nicked a narrow win over Martigues 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Red Star FC 93 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 57% of the ball to Martigues's 43%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.36 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Red Star FC 93's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Red Star FC 93 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 0.40 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Martigues?

Red Star FC 93 1-0 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 43%, draw 28%, Martigues 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Red Star FC 93), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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