Pau 0-5 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 14 Feb 2025

Pau
0-5 HT 0-2
Rodez
📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Pau vs Rodez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.32
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
6%
11.65
X/1
13%
5.68
X/2
13%
6.51
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.7
2/2
16%
4.11
2/X
8%
11.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pau v Rodez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.59/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.14
+12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
20.6 Crosses 22.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Pau vs Rodez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rodez
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2024 Rodez Rodez 1-0 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
03.08.2024 Pau Pau 4-1 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez HAZ
13.01.2024 Rodez Rodez 2-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
02.09.2023 Pau Pau 2-2 HT 2-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
26.05.2023 Rodez Rodez 2-3 HT 1-3 Pau Pau FR2
08.10.2022 Pau Pau 2-2 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Pau vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez ran out comfortable winners over Pau 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Rodez found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pau and 1.67 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Pau vs Rodez?

Pau 0-5 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pau 39%, draw 27%, Rodez 35%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Pau), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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