Rodez 1-0 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 6 Dec 2024

Rodez
1-0 HT 0-0
Pau
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Rodez vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.8
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.4
X/1
8%
6.19
X/2
11%
6.58
X/X
13%
5.71
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
21%
4.15
2/X
4%
14.45
Value flag · 1/X at 14.4 — our 10% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rodez v Pau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -24%
1.27/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.72
+21% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
218 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 83%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.2 Crosses 22.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4

Rodez vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pau
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.29 xG 1.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Pau Pau 4-1 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez HAZ
13.01.2024 Rodez Rodez 2-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
02.09.2023 Pau Pau 2-2 HT 2-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
26.05.2023 Rodez Rodez 2-3 HT 1-3 Pau Pau FR2
08.10.2022 Pau Pau 2-2 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
08.01.2022 Pau Pau 4-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez edged past Pau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Rodez found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pau led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rodez and 2.67 for Pau.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Pau?

Rodez 1-0 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rodez 37%, draw 27%, Pau 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rodez), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rodez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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