Lorient 2-0 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 6 Dec 2024

Lorient
2-0 HT 1-0
Troyes
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Lorient vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
19.25
X/1
20%
4.22
X/2
8%
13.15
X/X
9%
7.25
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
7%
9.8
2/X
7%
19.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lorient v Troyes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
2.47/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.59
+38% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
23.3 Crosses 13.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Lorient vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Troyes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
446 Passes 342
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2023 Lorient Lorient 2-0 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
23.10.2022 Troyes Troyes 2-2 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
21.05.2022 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 0-1 Troyes Troyes FR1
01.12.2021 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 2-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
26.10.2019 Lorient Lorient 0-1 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
19.04.2019 Lorient Lorient 0-3 HT 0-2 Troyes Troyes FR2

Lorient 2-0 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
2-0
AWAY Troyes
0.59 xG 0.37
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
497 Passes 308
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient saw off Troyes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lorient had 60% of the ball to Troyes's 40%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.59 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lorient and 1.50 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Troyes?

Lorient 2-0 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lorient 54%, draw 25%, Troyes 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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