Martigues 0-1 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
54%
Away Win
59%
-4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.5pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Martigues EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 62%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.12/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-88% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.9 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Martigues
0-1
AWAY Guingamp
0.54 xG 0.98
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
234 Passes 467
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Martigues vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp squeezed past Martigues 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Martigues had 38% of the ball to Guingamp's 62%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.54 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Martigues vs Guingamp?

Martigues 0-1 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Martigues vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Martigues 23%, draw 22%, Guingamp 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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