Ajaccio 3-0 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 14 Feb 2025

Ajaccio
3-0 HT 2-0
Stade Lavallois
📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Ajaccio vs Stade Lavallois Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.41
Over 2.5
47%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.26
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.93
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
15%
5.15
X/2
10%
5.86
X/X
11%
3.22
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
4.79
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
33%
-6.0pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
67%
-14.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
33%
+14.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajaccio v Stade Lavallois — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.37/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.40
+0% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.3 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Ajaccio vs Stade Lavallois Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 0.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
324 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
17.02.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
05.12.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
07.07.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 Ajaccio Ajaccio HAZ
31.03.2017 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
28.10.2016 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-3 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2

Ajaccio 3-0 Stade Lavallois — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
3-0
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.75 xG 0.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
265 Passes 287
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio swept aside Stade Lavallois 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ajaccio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ajaccio had 48% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 52%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.75 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajaccio and 1.17 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Stade Lavallois?

Ajaccio 3-0 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 37%, draw 27%, Stade Lavallois 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajaccio), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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