Troyes vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Troyes v Lorient — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Troyes
FR1
2-2
HT 1-0
Lorient
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Troyes
FR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Lorient
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
Troyes 0-1 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics
Lorient edged past Troyes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
On the day, Troyes had 33% of the ball to Lorient's 67%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.40 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Troyes and 1.17 for Lorient.
What was the final score of Troyes vs Lorient?
Troyes 0-1 Lorient in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Troyes vs Lorient?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Troyes 31%, draw 25%, Lorient 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.