Union Magdalena 0-2 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.16/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.98
+9% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
16.6 Crosses 13.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Magdalena
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.73 xG 1.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
311 Passes 329
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-1 HT 2-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
28.10.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 2-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
14.05.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
19.07.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
01.02.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
14.09.2019 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Magdalena
0-2
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.18 xG 1.65
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
214 Passes 474
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Union Magdalena vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima saw off Union Magdalena 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Union Magdalena had 35% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 65%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.18 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Magdalena and 1.83 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Union Magdalena vs Deportes Tolima?

Union Magdalena 0-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Magdalena vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Magdalena 24%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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