Al Gharraf 0-1 Al Karma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 31 Dec 2025

📅31/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
39%
2.77
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.5pp
39%
Draw
33%
+6.2pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karma EU Bookmakers 37%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.73
-16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
261 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Gharraf vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma edged past Al Gharraf 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 39% / 31%) promised a tight game; Al Karma found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Gharraf vs Al Karma?

Al Gharraf 0-1 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 31/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharraf vs Al Karma?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Gharraf 30%, draw 39%, Al Karma 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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