Erbil vs Naft Maysan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erbil v Naft Maysan — Team-Based Signals
Erbil vs Naft Maysan Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Erbil
IRAK
Erbil nicked a narrow win over Naft Maysan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Erbil as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Erbil had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Erbil and 1.50 for Naft Maysan.
What was the final score of Erbil vs Naft Maysan?
Erbil 1-0 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 31/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erbil vs Naft Maysan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Erbil 54%, draw 27%, Naft Maysan 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbil) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.