Erbil 3-2 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.62
Over 2.5
33%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
58%
+9.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
42%
-9.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.5pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbil EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 32%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.36
-100% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbil
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naft Maysan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.12.2023 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 1-1 HT 0-0 Erbil Erbil IRAK
POST-MATCH Erbil vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil nicked a narrow win over Naft Maysan 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Erbil found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Erbil vs Naft Maysan?

Erbil 3-2 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbil vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Erbil 38%, draw 26%, Naft Maysan 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbil) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erbil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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