07/05/2025
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Al-Qasim vs Al Karma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
23%
Draw
32%
42%
Away Win
38%
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
55%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Qasim v Al Karma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al-Qasim
EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Karma
EU Bookmakers 42%
+26% /
+26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+39% /
+39%
1.32/0.67
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/0.00
+34%
/
+58%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+100%
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
321 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
270 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al-Qasim vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Karma saw off Al-Qasim 3-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Karma as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Al Karma?
Al-Qasim 1-3 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Al Karma?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 35%, draw 23%, Al Karma 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Karma)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
7 May 2025