Al Hudod 0-3 Naft Al-Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
24%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+5.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
30%
-5.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hudod EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Al-Basra EU Bookmakers 33%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hudod
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Al-Basra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
09.02.2025 Naft Al-Basra Naft Al-Basra 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Hudod IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Hudod vs Naft Al-Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Al-Basra cruised past Al Hudod 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hudod at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Hudod vs Naft Al-Basra?

Al Hudod 0-3 Naft Al-Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hudod vs Naft Al-Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hudod win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Hudod 46%, draw 30%, Naft Al-Basra 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Hudod), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hudod) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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