Kazma 1-1 Al Salmiyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 31 Dec 2025

📅31/12/2025 · 🕒16:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
47%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.32
6+ Goals
7%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazma EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.84/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.80
+24% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Salmiyah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-1 HT 0-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
15.01.2025 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 3-1 HT 1-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
17.08.2024 Kazma Kazma 4-3 HT 2-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
02.02.2024 Kazma Kazma 4-4 HT 1-3 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUVEK
04.01.2024 Kazma Kazma 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
05.10.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-2 HT 0-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
POST-MATCH Kazma vs Al Salmiyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kazma and Al Salmiyah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kazma at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kazma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kazma and 1.83 for Al Salmiyah.

What was the final score of Kazma vs Al Salmiyah?

Kazma 1-1 Al Salmiyah in the Kuwait - Premier League on 31/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazma vs Al Salmiyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kazma win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kazma 42%, draw 27%, Al Salmiyah 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kazma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kazma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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