Week in Review 2026-W40

Mon 28 Sep – Sun 04 Oct · every prediction below was published before kick-off and settled on the final score — the wins and the misses, unedited.
54.3%
picks right · 158 of 291
291 picks on 253 of 1352 matches analysed (18.7%) — no pick on the rest, model view only · best day Thu 01 Oct · toughest day Fri 02 Oct
29
exact scorelines called
out of 157 match-result predictions on the daily pages
58.7%
model views right · 2379 of 4056
1352 matches analysed this week — the Model View on every match page (match result, over/under 2.5, both teams to score): the outcome our model rated most likely, a view, not a pick
16/60
ready-made coupons won
11 paid more than their stake · best ×12.14

Pattern picks on the match pages Gold, Silver and Bronze, graded before kick-off by the pattern's record

🥇 225/412
Gold picks · 54.6%
the strongest pattern grade on the match pages · 3 still open
🥈 130/263
Silver picks · 49.4%
patterns with a longer record
🥉 10/18
Bronze picks · 55.6%
patterns in their first season of evidence

Gold picks that landed

Where the reads were strongest model views by league and market, Top leagues, 5+ views

Under 2.5 4/5 · 80.0% England - FA Cup
Over 2.5 27/35 · 77.1% England - FA Cup
Home win 10/13 · 76.9% CONCACAF Champions League
Away win 16/21 · 76.2% CONCACAF Champions League
Over 2.5 18/25 · 72.0% CONCACAF Champions League
Over 2.5 16/24 · 66.7% UEFA Nations League
Away win 8/12 · 66.7% Africa Cup of Nations
Home win 8/12 · 66.7% Africa Cup of Nations
Under 2.5 4/6 · 66.7% Gulf Cup of Nations
Home win 18/28 · 64.3% UEFA Nations League
Toughest reads: Under 2.5 in Spain - LaLiga 2 3/9, Home win in Spain - LaLiga 2 4/10, BTTS Yes in CONCACAF Champions League 10/24, Under 2.5 in CONCACAF Champions League 4/9.

Success Predictions by Market hit rate

Home win 56/106 52.8% Draw 1/4 25.0% Away win 26/47 55.3% Over 2.5 19/35 54.3% Under 2.5 4/15 26.7% BTTS Yes 34/56 60.7% BTTS No 18/28 64.3%

Day by day daily predictions won / lost

55% Mon 11/20 65% Tue 17/26 55% Wed 11/20 75% Thu 15/20 46% Fri 11/24 55% Sat 57/104 47% Sun 36/77
MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
Match result 57%4/7 67%8/12 50%4/8 56%5/9 38%3/8 57%39/68 44%20/45
Over/Under 50%3/6 50%3/6 33%2/6 80%4/5 50%3/6 30%3/10 46%5/11
BTTS 57%4/7 75%6/8 83%5/6 100%6/6 50%5/10 58%15/26 52%11/21
Daily success by market: the shade follows the day's hit rate.

Trend model views right week by week — total and the seven outcomes

40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 2026-W33 2026-W34 2026-W35 2026-W36 2026-W37 2026-W38 2026-W39 2026-W40 55.1% 51.2% 54.1% 51.9% 56.5% 52.9% 55.5% 56.1% 51.3% 53.0% 53.4% 51.6% 47.7% 56.1% 52.1% 58.6% 63.3% 61.2% 65.9% 60.5% 64.5% 62.0% 61.7% 63.8% 54.2% 56.5% 52.4% 58.3% 55.9% 55.2% 55.4% 54.7% 57.4% 54.8% 61.7% 55.1% 58.9% 58.1% 57.8% 59.4% 52.7% 54.3% 57.0% 54.8% 53.7% 51.2% 58.1% 57.9% 56.9% 55.3% 58.4% 55.5% 57.4% 56.5% 57.0% 58.7% Draw views — the hardest call 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2026-W33 2026-W34 2026-W35 2026-W36 2026-W37 2026-W38 2026-W39 2026-W40 53.8% 44.4% 42.9% 43.5% 33.3% 22.7% 17.4% 20.0%
40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% W33 W34 W35 W36 W37 W38 W39 W40 55.1% 51.2% 54.1% 51.9% 56.5% 52.9% 55.5% 56.1% 51.3% 53.0% 53.4% 51.6% 47.7% 56.1% 52.1% 58.6% 63.3% 61.2% 65.9% 60.5% 64.5% 62.0% 61.7% 63.8% 54.2% 56.5% 52.4% 58.3% 55.9% 55.2% 55.4% 54.7% 57.4% 54.8% 61.7% 55.1% 58.9% 58.1% 57.8% 59.4% 52.7% 54.3% 57.0% 54.8% 53.7% 51.2% 58.1% 57.9% 56.9% 55.3% 58.4% 55.5% 57.4% 56.5% 57.0% 58.7% Draw views 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% W33 W34 W35 W36 W37 W38 W39 W40 53.8% 44.4% 42.9% 43.5% 33.3% 22.7% 17.4% 20.0%
All model views 58.7% Home win 56.1% Draw 20.0% Away win 58.6% Over 2.5 63.8% Under 2.5 54.7% BTTS Yes 59.4% BTTS No 57.9%
Share of model views that landed each week, across every match analysed — views, not picks; the dashed line is 50%, a point below it turns red. Tick the markets you want to compare; the axis follows your selection and the table shows won / views behind every point. Draw views are few (13–30 a week) and swing accordingly.

Model views of the week exact scorelines, draws and long odds that landed — Top leagues

29 such model views across all leagues this week; the list shows the Top-league ones.

Where we missed the same rules, applied to the losses

17 favourites at 1.50 or shorter did not come in; the weakest daily market was Under 2.5, the strongest BTTS No.

Ready-made coupons 16 of 60 won · a system coupon counts as won when any column pays

Coupon of the DayW2–L5 · best ×3.79
Surprise CouponW0–L7
Over/Under CouponW0–L7
BTTS CouponW3–L4 · best ×4.16
Combo CouponsW2–L19 · best ×4.42
System CouponsW9–L2 · best ×12.14
SYSTEM System 5-6-7/7 Coupon 5-6-7 WON
CONCACAF Champions League 03:00 HT 3-1 · FT 5-2
Over 2.5 1.71 ✓
CONCACAF Champions League 03:00 HT 2-0 · FT 3-0
Over 2.5 1.61 ✓
England - National League 21:00 HT 2-0 · FT 3-1
Home Win 1.49 ✓
England - Non League Premier 21:45 HT 0-1 · FT 1-1
BTTS Yes 1.50 ✓
England - Conference 21:45 HT 0-0 · FT 1-1
BTTS Yes 1.66 ✓
England - Non League Premier 21:45 HT 0-3 · FT 1-5
BTTS Yes 1.52 ✓
England - Non League Premier 21:45 HT 2-0 · FT 2-1
Over 2.5 1.65 ✓
Paid × 12.14
Kuponu hesapla ↗
SYSTEM System 3-4-5/7 Coupon 3-4-5 WON
Africa Cup of Nations 19:00 HT 1-0 · FT 1-0
Home Win 1.96 ✓
CONCACAF Champions League 01:00 HT 0-0 · FT 2-1
BTTS No 1.73 ✗
Africa Cup of Nations 19:00 HT 1-0 · FT 2-0
Home Win 1.96 ✓
Spain - Copa de la Reina 20:00 HT 0-0 · FT 0-1
BTTS No 1.68 ✓
England - National League 21:45 HT 0-0 · FT 3-0
Home Win 2.02 ✓
England - Non League Premier 21:45 HT 0-1 · FT 1-2
Away Win 1.98 ✓
England - Non League Premier 21:45 HT 1-1 · FT 1-2
Away Win 2.32 ✓
Paid × 6.26
Kuponu hesapla ↗
SYSTEM System 3-4-5/7 Coupon 3-4-5 WON
UEFA Nations League 19:00 HT 1-0 · FT 3-0
Home Win 1.57 ✓
Denmark - 3rd Division 14:00 HT 1-0 · FT 2-1
Home Win 1.52 ✓
Netherlands - Tweede Divisie 16:00 HT 1-1 · FT 1-3
Away Win 1.62 ✓
England - FA Cup 17:00 HT 2-0 · FT 5-0
Home Win 1.49 ✓
Slovakia - 2. Liga 16:00 HT 2-0 · FT 2-3
BTTS Yes 1.56 ✓
Slovenia - 2.SNL 19:00 HT 0-0 · FT 1-1
BTTS Yes 1.56 ✓
Sweden - Division 2 Östra Götaland 19:00 HT 0-0 · FT 1-2
Away Win 1.68 ✓
Paid × 6.06
Kuponu hesapla ↗
COMBOS Combo Coupon 1 WON
USA - Major League 02:00 HT 1-1 · FT 2-1
Over 2.5 1.51 ✓
Colombia - Primera 04:10 HT 1-0 · FT 2-0
Home Win 1.74 ✓
European U21 19:30 HT 0-0 · FT 2-0
BTTS No 1.68 ✓
Total odds 4.42
Kuponu hesapla ↗
BTTS Today's BTTS Coupon WON
UEFA Nations League 21:45 HT 1-1 · FT 2-1
BTTS Yes 1.74 ✓
Champions League - Women's 19:45 HT 1-0 · FT 1-1
BTTS Yes 1.76 ✓
UEFA Nations League 19:00 HT 0-0 · FT 0-0
BTTS No 1.36 ✓
Total odds 4.16
Kuponu hesapla ↗
COUPON OF THE DAY WON
USA - Major League 02:00 HT 1-1 · FT 2-1
Over 2.5 1.51 ✓
Mexico - Primera 04:00 HT 0-0 · FT 2-1
Home Win 1.57 ✓
Slovenia - 2.SNL 20:00 HT 2-0 · FT 3-1
Home Win 1.60 ✓
Total odds 3.79
Kuponu hesapla ↗
Every coupon of the week, losses included, is on the dated ready-made coupons pages.

Community leaderboard, iK Score

  • #1uk_predz70/191 coupons won 36.6%
  • #2garantor225/413 coupons won 54.5%
  • #3jackies44/79 coupons won 55.7%
Full leaderboard — one unit per coupon, lost at the first losing leg.

Next week's key matches 05 Oct – 11 Oct

See this week's predictions free

How to read this page

Every prediction, pattern pick and coupon here was published on its own page before kick-off and frozen at kick-off; the only thing that changes afterwards is the result. Picks are the daily predictions: only the matches where one of our patterns fills — most matches get no pick, and the page says how many. Model views are the outcome our model rated most likely on each match page — match result, over/under 2.5 and both teams to score — for every match we analysed; they are views, not picks. Gold, Silver and Bronze are the pattern picks shown on the match pages, graded before the match by the length and consistency of the pattern's record. Hit rates count settled predictions only; postponed matches are excluded. This page is generated automatically every Monday; nothing on it is selected by hand.

Model predictions & statistics — not betting advice · 18+ · runs on AI — Authentic Intelligence™