Farnborough 2-4 Havant & Waterlooville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.8pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.5pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -24%
2.12/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.14
+16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.12.2023 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 0-1 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
14.03.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 2-2 HT 0-1 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İCON
29.08.2022 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 1-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
06.09.2014 Farnborough Farnborough 0-5 HT 0-2 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İCON
28.12.2013 Farnborough Farnborough 2-2 HT 0-2 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
2-4
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Havant & Waterlooville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havant & Waterlooville got the better of Farnborough 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Farnborough at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Farnborough had 49% of the ball to Havant & Waterlooville's 51%, shots finished 16-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Havant & Waterlooville led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Farnborough and 2.00 for Havant & Waterlooville.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Farnborough 2-4 Havant & Waterlooville in the England - Conference on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 47%, draw 30%, Havant & Waterlooville 23%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farnborough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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