Bradford Park Avenue 0-1 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford Park Avenue EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 51%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.36/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.81
-6% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford Park Avenue
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Guiseley
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 2-2 HT 1-2 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue İNGNLP
18.04.2022 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue 0-0 HT 0-0 Guiseley Guiseley İCON
28.12.2021 Guiseley Guiseley 2-2 HT 1-0 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue İCON
25.07.2015 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue 3-1 HT 2-1 Guiseley Guiseley HAZ
24.02.2015 Guiseley Guiseley 1-2 HT 1-1 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue İCON
09.12.2013 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue 0-3 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford Park Avenue
0-1
AWAY Guiseley
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bradford Park Avenue vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley edged past Bradford Park Avenue 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guiseley as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bradford Park Avenue had 52% of the ball to Guiseley's 48%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford Park Avenue had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bradford Park Avenue and 1.50 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Bradford Park Avenue vs Guiseley?

Bradford Park Avenue 0-1 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford Park Avenue vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bradford Park Avenue 33%, draw 25%, Guiseley 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guiseley) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guiseley)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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