Leiston 2-3 Royston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Royston Town EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -2%
1.83/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.11
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Royston Town
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2022 Leiston Leiston 3-0 HT 2-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
16.08.2022 Royston Town Royston Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
15.01.2022 Royston Town Royston Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
17.08.2021 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 1-1 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Royston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royston Town nicked a narrow win over Leiston 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Leiston at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Leiston had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Leiston and 0.75 for Royston Town.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Royston Town?

Leiston 2-3 Royston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Royston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Leiston 49%, draw 26%, Royston Town 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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