Swindon Supermarine 1-3 Hungerford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
26%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+7.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-10.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -25%
2.12/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/2.49
+37% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hungerford Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.08.2024 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
27.01.2024 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
26.09.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-3 HT 0-2 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Hungerford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hungerford Town got the better of Swindon Supermarine 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Swindon Supermarine at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hungerford Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swindon Supermarine and 2.00 for Hungerford Town.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Hungerford Town?

Swindon Supermarine 1-3 Hungerford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Hungerford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 47%, draw 28%, Hungerford Town 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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