Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Crewe Alexandra v Cheltenham Town — Team-Based Signals
Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Crewe Alexandra 4-1 Cheltenham Town — Actual Match Statistics
Crewe Alexandra dismantled Cheltenham Town 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Crewe Alexandra as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Cheltenham Town saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.88 to 1.55.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Crewe Alexandra against 1.50 for Cheltenham Town.
Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town Result & Final Score
Crewe Alexandra 4 - 1 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 49%, draw 25%, Cheltenham Town 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.