Notts County vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Notts County v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals
Notts County vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Notts County 0-1 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics
Accrington Stanley squeezed past Notts County 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match lean was Notts County at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 52%.
The match data tells the story: Notts County had 54% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 46%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.68 to 0.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Notts County and 1.00 for Accrington Stanley.
Notts County vs Accrington Stanley Result & Final Score
Notts County 0 - 1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Notts County vs Accrington Stanley Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Notts County 52%, draw 26%, Accrington Stanley 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.