Accrington Stanley vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Accrington Stanley v Notts County — Team-Based Signals
Accrington Stanley vs Notts County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Accrington Stanley 0-3 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics
Notts County ran out comfortable winners over Accrington Stanley 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Notts County made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Accrington Stanley had 42% of the ball to Notts County's 58%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.33 to 2.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.50 for Notts County.
What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Notts County?
Accrington Stanley 0-3 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Notts County?
Before kick-off our model rated an Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 33%, draw 28%, Notts County 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.