Carlisle United vs Bradford City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carlisle United v Bradford City — Team-Based Signals
Carlisle United vs Bradford City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Carlisle United 0-1 Bradford City — Actual Match Statistics
Bradford City squeezed past Carlisle United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Bradford City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Carlisle United had 60% of the ball to Bradford City's 40%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.57 to 1.60.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Carlisle United and 1.00 for Bradford City.
What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Bradford City?
Carlisle United 0-1 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Bradford City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 36%, draw 29%, Bradford City 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Carlisle United) went the other way.