Bradford City vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bradford City v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals
Bradford City vs Carlisle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bradford City 2-1 Carlisle United — Actual Match Statistics
Bradford City squeezed past Carlisle United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Bradford City had 45% of the ball to Carlisle United's 55%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.03 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlisle United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bradford City and 1.00 for Carlisle United.
What was the final score of Bradford City vs Carlisle United?
Bradford City 2-1 Carlisle United in the England - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Carlisle United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 43%, draw 28%, Carlisle United 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.