Cheltenham Town vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cheltenham Town v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals
Cheltenham Town vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Cheltenham Town 1-0 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics
Cheltenham Town squeezed past Harrogate Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cheltenham Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Cheltenham Town had 53% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 47%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.46 to 0.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Harrogate Town.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cheltenham Town and 0.50 for Harrogate Town.
What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Harrogate Town?
Cheltenham Town 1-0 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Harrogate Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 48%, draw 25%, Harrogate Town 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheltenham Town) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.