Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.03
Over
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.86
2-3
41%
1.83
4-5
25%
3.19
6+
13%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.92
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
10%
4.94
X/2
14%
6.88
X/X
7%
4.88
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
11%
4.66
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milton Keynes Dons The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall The Market 33%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.74/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.23
+65% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 67%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
10.5 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Walsall
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.67 xG 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
424 Passes 227
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 5-0 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
03.10.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
18.10.2022 Walsall Walsall 0-2 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İNTK
03.02.2018 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
17.10.2017 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN1
30.04.2017 Walsall Walsall 1-4 HT 0-2 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
1-0
AWAY Walsall
1.64 xG 1.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
518 Passes 259
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milton Keynes Dons vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milton Keynes Dons edged past Walsall 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milton Keynes Dons as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milton Keynes Dons had 61% of the ball to Walsall's 39%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.64 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milton Keynes Dons had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Milton Keynes Dons and 0.50 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Milton Keynes Dons vs Walsall?

Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milton Keynes Dons vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Milton Keynes Dons 41%, draw 25%, Walsall 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
7 Sep 2024
17:00 Colchester vs Bromley Analysis →
17:00 Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town Analysis →
17:00 Cheltenham Town vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
17:00 Crewe Alexandra vs Morecambe Analysis →
17:00 Bradford City vs Carlisle United Analysis →
17:00 Doncaster Rovers vs Gillingham Analysis →