Milton Keynes Dons 5-0 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2024

Milton Keynes Dons
5-0 HT 1-0
Walsall
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Milton Keynes Dons vs Walsall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.23
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
18%
4.49
X/2
13%
7.49
X/X
10%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.15
2/2
13%
5.33
2/X
7%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Milton Keynes Dons v Walsall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.21/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.28
+11% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
383 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
13.7 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Milton Keynes Dons vs Walsall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Walsall
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 0.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
379 Passes 235
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
18.10.2022 Walsall Walsall 0-2 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İNTK
03.02.2018 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
17.10.2017 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN1
30.04.2017 Walsall Walsall 1-4 HT 0-2 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
12.11.2016 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İN1

Milton Keynes Dons 5-0 Walsall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
5-0
AWAY Walsall
2.93 xG 0.39
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
514 Passes 212
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milton Keynes Dons vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milton Keynes Dons cruised past Walsall 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milton Keynes Dons as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Milton Keynes Dons had 66% of the ball to Walsall's 34%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.93 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milton Keynes Dons had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Milton Keynes Dons and 0.67 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Milton Keynes Dons vs Walsall?

Milton Keynes Dons 5-0 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milton Keynes Dons vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Milton Keynes Dons 46%, draw 23%, Walsall 31%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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