Wrexham 2-0 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2024

Wrexham
2-0 HT 1-0
Mansfield Town
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Wrexham vs Mansfield Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.56
No
55%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.06
6+ Goals
8%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 30% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.22
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.3
X/2
14%
6.12
X/X
12%
5.16
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
15%
3.95
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.6pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wrexham v Mansfield Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +23%
1.06/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.18
-92% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
39.0 Crosses 18.9
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Wrexham vs Mansfield Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mansfield Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.57
44% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 385
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Wrexham Wrexham FAK
03.10.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
20.04.2013 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
04.04.2013 Wrexham Wrexham 2-1 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İBSL
20.04.2012 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
27.09.2011 Wrexham Wrexham 1-3 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İBSL

Wrexham 2-0 Mansfield Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
2-0
AWAY Mansfield Town
2.30 xG 0.55
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
216 Passes 426
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham beat Mansfield Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Wrexham found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wrexham had 39% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 61%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 2.30 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wrexham and 1.33 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Mansfield Town?

Wrexham 2-0 Mansfield Town in the England - 2nd Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 39%, draw 27%, Mansfield Town 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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