Crawley Town 0-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
13%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.99
1/2
11%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.93
X/2
10%
6.54
X/X
12%
4.98
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
11%
4.45
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.37/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.32
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
16.6 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.82 xG 1.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
330 Passes 191
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
21.03.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
24.09.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 4-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
04.03.2017 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
13.08.2016 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
10.02.2015 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-5 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
0-2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.45 xG 2.27
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 8
383 Passes 159
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers saw off Crawley Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Crawley Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 65% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 35%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 1.45 to 2.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Crawley Town and 2.17 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Doncaster Rovers?

Crawley Town 0-2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 42%, draw 27%, Doncaster Rovers 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crawley Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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