Salford City 1-2 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 30% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
19%
4.66
X/2
12%
7.21
X/X
18%
4.99
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
14%
5.04
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -22%
1.36/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.49
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 68%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.4 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sutton United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.37 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 183
67% Pass Accuracy 61%
21 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.10.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 0-2 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
14.01.2023 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 2-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
24.09.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
08.02.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
14.08.2021 Salford City Salford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
05.03.2019 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
1-2
AWAY Sutton United
0.94 xG 0.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
185 Passes 137
59% Pass Accuracy 52%
22 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United nicked a narrow win over Salford City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Sutton United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salford City had 53% of the ball to Sutton United's 47%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.94 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Salford City and 0.17 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Sutton United?

Salford City 1-2 Sutton United in the England - 2nd Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Salford City 40%, draw 29%, Sutton United 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
29 Mar 2024
18:00 Milton Keynes Dons vs Walsall Analysis →
18:00 Bradford City vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Crawley Town vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →
18:00 AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
18:00 Swindon Town vs Notts County Analysis →
18:00 Wrexham vs Mansfield Town Analysis →