AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.9
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.3
X/1
18%
3.58
X/2
7%
12.0
X/X
10%
5.46
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
10%
9.95
2/X
8%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 19%
-24% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +27%
1.63/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.55
-10% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
24.6 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.68 xG 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 325
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.10.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
07.04.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-2 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
29.10.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-2 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
1-1
AWAY Harrogate Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
218 Passes 219
61% Pass Accuracy 59%
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon and Harrogate Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. AFC Wimbledon carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 49% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 51%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 1.33 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate Town?

AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 55%, draw 23%, Harrogate Town 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
29 Mar 2024
18:00 Milton Keynes Dons vs Walsall Analysis →
18:00 Bradford City vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Salford City vs Sutton United Analysis →
18:00 Crawley Town vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Swindon Town vs Notts County Analysis →
18:00 Wrexham vs Mansfield Town Analysis →