Crewe Alexandra vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crewe Alexandra v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals
Crewe Alexandra vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics
Crewe Alexandra squeezed past Morecambe 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Crewe Alexandra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 52% of the ball to Morecambe's 48%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.94 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.33 for Morecambe.
What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Morecambe?
Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Morecambe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 38%, draw 29%, Morecambe 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.