Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chesterfield v Grimsby Town — Team-Based Signals
Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chesterfield 2-1 Grimsby Town — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield edged past Grimsby Town 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Chesterfield as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chesterfield had 51% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 49%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.56 to 1.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grimsby Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chesterfield and 2.00 for Grimsby Town.
What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town?
Chesterfield 2-1 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 46%, draw 27%, Grimsby Town 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.