Walsall 4-2 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.95
Over Pick
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.37
2-3
38%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.18
6+
13%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.52
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.55
X/2
12%
7.93
X/X
9%
5.02
2/1
9%
23.0
2/2
14%
5.93
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons The Market 29%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -26%
1.71/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.57
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.9 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.76 xG 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
235 Passes 448
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
29.03.2024 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 5-0 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
03.10.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
18.10.2022 Walsall Walsall 0-2 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İNTK
03.02.2018 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
17.10.2017 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
4-2
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
3.69 xG 0.42
33% Ball Possession 67%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
145 Passes 422
59% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Milton Keynes Dons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall saw off Milton Keynes Dons 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Walsall had 33% of the ball to Milton Keynes Dons's 67%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 3.69 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milton Keynes Dons led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Walsall and 1.50 for Milton Keynes Dons.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Walsall 4-2 Milton Keynes Dons in the England - 2nd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Walsall 43%, draw 23%, Milton Keynes Dons 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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