Notts County vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Notts County v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals
Notts County vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Notts County 2-0 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics
Notts County beat Accrington Stanley 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Notts County as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Notts County had 61% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 39%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.93 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Notts County and 1.67 for Accrington Stanley.
What was the final score of Notts County vs Accrington Stanley?
Notts County 2-0 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Notts County vs Accrington Stanley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Notts County 45%, draw 24%, Accrington Stanley 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.