Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cheltenham Town v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals
Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Crewe Alexandra
İN1
1-1
HT 1-1
Cheltenham Town
İN1
2-1
HT 1-0
Crewe Alexandra
FAK
1-0
HT 0-0
Cheltenham Town
İN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
1-3
HT 1-1
Cheltenham Town
İN2
Cheltenham Town 2-1 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics
Cheltenham Town squeezed past Crewe Alexandra 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Cheltenham Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cheltenham Town had 49% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 51%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.85 to 0.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.17 for Crewe Alexandra.
What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
Cheltenham Town 2-1 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
Before kick-off our model rated an Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 33%, draw 28%, Crewe Alexandra 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.