Bromley 5-2 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
8.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 25% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.35
X/1
11%
3.75
X/2
11%
13.3
X/X
7%
6.45
2/1
9%
21.7
2/2
9%
10.1
2/X
7%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-12.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromley EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
Crosses 12.8
Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromley
5-2
AWAY Newport County
1.83 xG 0.50
26% Ball Possession 74%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
103 Passes 456
61% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Bromley vs Newport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromley swept aside Newport County 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bromley as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bromley had 26% of the ball to Newport County's 74%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.83 to 0.50.

What was the final score of Bromley vs Newport County?

Bromley 5-2 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromley vs Newport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bromley win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bromley 51%, draw 23%, Newport County 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bromley), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bromley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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