Fleetwood Town 2-0 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.39
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.29
X/2
15%
6.12
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.16
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.56/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.85
-44% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +121%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
16.3 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chesterfield
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
05.12.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İNTK
19.11.2016 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
18.10.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
26.03.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
31.10.2015 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
28.02.2015 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-0 HT 2-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
2-0
AWAY Chesterfield
0.81 xG 0.81
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
146 Passes 508
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town got the better of Chesterfield 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Fleetwood Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 28% of the ball to Chesterfield's 72%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.81 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fleetwood Town and 0.83 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?

Fleetwood Town 2-0 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 36%, draw 27%, Chesterfield 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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