Salford City 3-0 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.18
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.4
X/1
13%
4.21
X/2
9%
6.86
X/X
15%
3.76
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
13%
5.95
2/X
5%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.0pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.31/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.24
-1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
293 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 61%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.8 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Barrow
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
332 Passes 219
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Salford City Salford City 5-3 HT 1-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
28.10.2023 Barrow Barrow 0-0 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
28.02.2023 Barrow Barrow 1-1 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
26.12.2022 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
18.04.2022 Salford City Salford City 2-2 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
25.01.2022 Barrow Barrow 0-2 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
3-0
AWAY Barrow
0.61 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
166 Passes 136
64% Pass Accuracy 53%
16 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City swept aside Barrow 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salford City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Salford City had 50% of the ball to Barrow's 50%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.61 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Salford City and 1.17 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Barrow?

Salford City 3-0 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Salford City 44%, draw 28%, Barrow 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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