Liverpool 0-0 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Jan 2026

Liverpool
0-0 HT 0-0
Leeds United
📅01/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Liverpool vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
10.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.85
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1
19%
4.0
X/2
6%
12.45
X/X
7%
6.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
2/2
5%
10.35
2/X
7%
18.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+1.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
2.16/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.04
+3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
36.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.1 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Liverpool vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leeds United
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
3.04 xG 1.42
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
506 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2025 Leeds United Leeds United 3-3 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
17.04.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 1-6 HT 0-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
29.10.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-2 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
23.02.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 6-0 HT 3-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
12.09.2021 Leeds United Leeds United 0-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
19.04.2021 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP

Liverpool 0-0 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
0-0
AWAY Leeds United
2.08 xG 0.69
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
549 Passes 194
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
35 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool and Leeds United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool had 68% of the ball to Leeds United's 32%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.08 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Liverpool and 1.17 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Leeds United?

Liverpool 0-0 Leeds United in the England - Premier League on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 64%, draw 20%, Leeds United 16%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
1 Jan 2026
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