Leeds United 3-3 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Dec 2025

Leeds United
3-3 HT 0-0
Liverpool
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Leeds United vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
14%
11.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.22 — our 26% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.74
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
22.7
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
8%
8.81
X/2
18%
4.42
X/X
10%
5.38
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.34
2/X
8%
14.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+6.0pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.65/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.32
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -28%
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 85%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.5
21.2 Crosses 19.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Leeds United vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Liverpool
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.21 xG 3.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
298 Passes 490
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 42
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.04.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 1-6 HT 0-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
29.10.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-2 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
23.02.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 6-0 HT 3-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
12.09.2021 Leeds United Leeds United 0-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
19.04.2021 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
12.09.2020 Liverpool Liverpool 4-3 HT 3-2 Leeds United Leeds United İNP

Leeds United 3-3 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
3-3
AWAY Liverpool
1.58 xG 1.91
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
321 Passes 418
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United and Liverpool shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Leeds United had 45% of the ball to Liverpool's 55%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.58 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leeds United and 3.50 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Liverpool?

Leeds United 3-3 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 26%, draw 23%, Liverpool 51%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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