Everton 3-0 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.99
6+ Goals
8%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.87
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
14%
4.78
X/2
11%
7.55
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
13%
5.85
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.49/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.52
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
23.6 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
305 Passes 349
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
29.12.2024 Everton Everton 0-2 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
21.04.2024 Everton Everton 2-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
02.12.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
05.03.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-2 HT 1-2 Everton Everton İNP
20.08.2022 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
3-0
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.12 xG 0.53
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
238 Passes 357
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Everton vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton cruised past Nottingham Forest 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Everton as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Everton had 41% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 59%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.12 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Everton and 0.83 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Everton vs Nottingham Forest?

Everton 3-0 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Everton 43%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Everton), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Everton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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