Manchester City 3-0 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Dec 2025

Manchester City
3-0 HT 2-0
Sunderland
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✓ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Manchester City vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.3
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.32
2-3 Goals
42%
2.0
4-5 Goals
22%
2.63
6+ Goals
13%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.47
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
21.45
X/1 EV+ ✗
30%
3.92
X/2
4%
20.15
X/X
8%
8.71
2/1
9%
21.1
2/2
5%
16.75
2/X
4%
24.85
Value flag · X/1 at 3.92 — our 30% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
73%
-1.2pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.3pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester City v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +30%
2.29/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.53
+32% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +107%
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
546 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
43.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.1 Crosses 15.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Manchester City vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sunderland
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.26 xG 0.76
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
531 Passes 247
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.03.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 0-2 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
13.08.2016 Manchester City Manchester City 2-1 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
02.02.2016 Sunderland Sunderland 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
26.12.2015 Manchester City Manchester City 4-1 HT 3-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
22.09.2015 Sunderland Sunderland 1-4 HT 0-4 Manchester City Manchester City İNLK
01.01.2015 Manchester City Manchester City 3-2 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP

Manchester City 3-0 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City
3-0
AWAY Sunderland
2.42 xG 0.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
559 Passes 277
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manchester City vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City ran out comfortable winners over Sunderland 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Manchester City had 64% of the ball to Sunderland's 36%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.42 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Manchester City and 0.83 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Manchester City vs Sunderland?

Manchester City 3-0 Sunderland in the England - Premier League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 72%, draw 16%, Sunderland 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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