Nottingham Forest 0-1 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.73
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
12%
4.44
X/2
12%
7.81
X/X
14%
4.19
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
9%
6.49
2/X
9%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.62/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.44
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.9 Crosses 16.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Everton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.01 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
369 Passes 293
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.12.2024 Everton Everton 0-2 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
21.04.2024 Everton Everton 2-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
02.12.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
05.03.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-2 HT 1-2 Everton Everton İNP
20.08.2022 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
0-1
AWAY Everton
0.52 xG 1.36
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
249 Passes 362
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton squeezed past Nottingham Forest 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nottingham Forest at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 42% of the ball to Everton's 58%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.52 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Everton led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.20 for Everton.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Everton?

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Everton in the England - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 42%, draw 29%, Everton 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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