Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester City v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Crystal Palace
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Manchester City
İNP
4-2
HT 0-2
Crystal Palace
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Manchester City
İNP
Manchester City 5-2 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City ran out comfortable winners over Crystal Palace 5-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Manchester City had 68% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 32%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 3.81 to 1.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Manchester City and 1.33 for Crystal Palace.
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?
Manchester City 5-2 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 46%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 29%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.