Crystal Palace 2-2 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
7.4
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
12%
10.6
X/2
13%
4.75
X/X
12%
6.37
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.41
2/X
8%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
23%
+12.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
54%
-14.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
0.94/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.38
-33% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.2
16.9 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Manchester City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.75 xG 1.94
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
208 Passes 665
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 41
6 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-4 HT 1-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
16.12.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 2-2 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
11.03.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
27.08.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 4-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
14.03.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
30.10.2021 Manchester City Manchester City 0-2 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
2-2
AWAY Manchester City
1.34 xG 1.45
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
258 Passes 636
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace and Manchester City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 32% of the ball to Manchester City's 68%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.34 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.83 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?

Crystal Palace 2-2 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 35%, draw 26%, Manchester City 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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